Tennis · resolved market
Ostrava Open, Qualification: Katherine Sebov vs Mona Barthel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ea6e1a827d4f2dcd32273051736107164bd169f502559bc1aaa408b0f0b370b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barthelof Sebov, Barthel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Barthel | 60c | 833.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.88 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sebov | 21c | 538.37$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Sebov | 24c | 419.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…f893backed Sebov | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Barthel | 73c | 340.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Sebov | 43c | 291.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.37 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Barthel | 66c | 283.17$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sebov | 42c | 243.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Barthel | 58c | 242.2$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.21 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Sebov | 42c | 239.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Sebov | 48c | 208.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…5fe8backed Barthel | 80c | 144.43$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Sebov | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Barthel | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Barthel | 67c | 77.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Barthel | 76c | 50.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6605…e9abbacked Sebov | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Barthel | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Sebov | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…4bfabacked Barthel | 70c | 47.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Sebov | 60c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Sebov | 30c | 42.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Barthel | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.