Other European Leagues · resolved market
Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ee389887282998357c6915073d35a0bf1b1bad3f479c9f28ed125676a1d9627
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 70c | 859.1$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.73 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 25c | 809.22$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.4 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 30c | 808.5$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.75 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Over | 74c | 779.42$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.14 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +352.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 348.85$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 62c | 193.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 102.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 60c | 91.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 44c | 90.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…5166backed Over | 62c | 78.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +4.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 70c | 66.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 61c | 62.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 42c | 62.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: FC Famalicão O/U 0.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: FC Famalicão O/U 1.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 0.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 3.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 4.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)FC Famalicão won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-1.5)Estoril Praia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.