Other European Leagues · resolved market
Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9c2830b8e473ae07e8870ecc3be17cd95334f851ebb5b47647ea547549eab9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Under | 76c | 6,511$4,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 24c | 3,906$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.44 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 18c | 3,624$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.96 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.92 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 2,126$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 74c | 1,530$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.09 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 4c | 1,214$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 74c | 488.81$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Under | 77c | 454.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 21c | 414.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 20c | 409.76$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 24c | 228.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 13c | 193.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Over | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 26c | 108.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 80c | 106.62$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 80c | 71.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 25c | 62.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 79c | 61.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 76c | 53.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 74c | 21.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked Under | 75c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4e…589dbacked Under | 74c | 18.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 47 | 89.4%42 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…04b7backed Under | 74c | 18.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 80c | 17.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 76c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 3.5this page
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: FC Famalicão O/U 0.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: FC Famalicão O/U 1.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 0.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 4.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)FC Famalicão won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-1.5)Estoril Praia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.