Other European Leagues · resolved market
Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7215935199e9e79d876063fa957b4f7b9fdd323a9118fd4c132de486a4e4654
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 74c | 5,070$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.2 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 30c | 3,991$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.69 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 26c | 1,622$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.64 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 74c | 1,502$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.43 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 40c | 1,360$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.87 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 1,338$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.08 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 971.51$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.09 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 5c | 859.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 62c | 839.32$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.47 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 49c | 445.06$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.98 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 72c | 166.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 24c | 139.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 76c | 139.75$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Over | 52c | 135.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 122.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 70c | 116.75$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 74c | 90.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…6d8dbacked Under | 22c | 90.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 38c | 80.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…e2eabacked Under | 45c | 65.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 39c | 47.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 60c | 46.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Over | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 61c | 42.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Over | 61c | 38.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…1cd3backed Over | 74c | 35.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 66c | 32.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 63c | 32.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 45c | 26.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 61c | 19.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 61c | 18.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5this page
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: FC Famalicão O/U 0.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: FC Famalicão O/U 1.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 0.5Over won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 3.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 4.5Under won
- Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)FC Famalicão won
- Spread: FC Famalicão (-1.5)Estoril Praia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.