La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eff0c81dd796d85251467e354a61d85035cde47f8b68fbae6fd763d1b2e148f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,531$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.41 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 1,308$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.68 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 26c | 538.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 409.16$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.71 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked No | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 30c | 321.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +75%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 317.77$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 30c | 299.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 37c | 224.59$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 31c | 203.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 21c | 196.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…1528backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…906bbacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 154.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 74c | 153.56$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf449…4854backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 146.32$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 79c | 110.81$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 24c | 103.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…d890backed Yes | 15c | 100.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 24c | 79.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 19cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 19c | 78.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 72c | 76.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 63 | 77.8%49 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…97a6backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…a012backed Yes | 32c | 70.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 29c | 65.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 68c | 62.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…13eebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e3…de5dbacked No | 68c | 19.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 67c | 18.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 74c | 16.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Burgos CF vs. UD Almería end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Burgos CF win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.