CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f15b01767c428b289edd51c70ee150b8f58688d14be152b48ed7a86909e2362
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof BET-M 33, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked SPARTA | 44c | 4,602$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.2 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed BET-M 33 | 59c | 1,319$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.36 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BET-M 33 | 55c | 1,250$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.08 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked BET-M 33 | 55c | 1,000$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.94 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BET-M 33 | 47c | 829.02$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.97 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BET-M 33 | 53c | 682.95$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.71 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BET-M 33 | 34c | 677.97$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.46 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed BET-M 33 | 46c | 333.95$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.66 | 522 | 42.5%222 W · 300 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BET-M 33 | 26c | 256.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed BET-M 33 | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed SPARTA | 75c | 225.99$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 319 | 73.7%235 W · 84 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked BET-M 33 | 58c | 204.07$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 634 | 57.1%362 W · 272 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed SPARTA | 41c | 203.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.97 | 618 | 55%340 W · 278 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SPARTA | 48c | 183.86$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed BET-M 33 | 52c | 180.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked SPARTA | 48c | 147$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed BET-M 33 | 47c | 145.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed SPARTA | 32c | 131.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked SPARTA | 35c | 119.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BET-M 33 | 28c | 109$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed SPARTA | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA | 51c | 97.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BET-M 33 | 45c | 80.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked BET-M 33 | 56c | 72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed BET-M 33 | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked BET-M 33 | 39c | 61.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked BET-M 33 | 38c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked BET-M 33 | 57c | 41.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked SPARTA | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed BET-M 33 | 58c | 35.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked BET-M 33 | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 419 | 50.1%210 W · 209 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed SPARTA | 67c | 28.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked BET-M 33 | 42c | 27.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed SPARTA | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked BET-M 33 | 61c | 22.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed BET-M 33 | 46c | 21.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs BET-M 33 (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.