Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego State Aztecs vs. San Jose State Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f4b24a181adebf98f60c79ccc9dd2dd114fe178c5869efa57764ccf9a1db271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego State Aztecsof San Diego State Aztecs, San Jose State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed San Jose State Spartans | 19c | 3,364$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.25 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…edc9backed San Jose State Spartans | 25c | 2,825$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Jose State Spartans | 13c | 1,969$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.68 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed San Jose State Spartans | 17c | 1,801$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Jose State Spartans | 23c | 1,363$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.47 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked San Jose State Spartans | 11c | 1,346$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.45 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 995$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.2 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Jose State Spartans | 17c | 849.64$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 710$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Jose State Spartans | 13c | 563.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 16c | 419.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed San Jose State Spartans | 7c | 410$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 349.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed San Jose State Spartans | 11c | 345$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 308.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 274.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 223.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked San Jose State Spartans | 10c | 207$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed San Jose State Spartans | 18c | 175$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed San Jose State Spartans | 12c | 147.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked San Jose State Spartans | 28c | 117.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed San Jose State Spartans | 10c | 100.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked San Jose State Spartans | 14c | 95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed San Jose State Spartans | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego State Aztecs | 71c | 73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed San Jose State Spartans | 17c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 73c | 58.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked San Jose State Spartans | 30c | 40.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed San Diego State Aztecs | 79c | 26.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.