Tennis · resolved market
Will Jasmine Paolini / Sara Errani (ITA) win Gold in Women’s Doubles Tennis?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f71f9388fd56851cea91da5cbaf5fe13dd5c23523d3a0879dce9752f10d4db9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8d…94b2backed No | 1c | 2,906$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…6caebacked No | 48c | 2,104$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 52c | 774.86$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.93 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb956…c475backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…4bfbbacked Yes | 57c | 329.17$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +157.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 33c | 327.63$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 64c | 312.9$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.9 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 53c | 290.85$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…c1d4backed Yes | 62c | 162.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3115…83f4backed Yes | 21c | 145$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 9cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 43c | 101.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 19c | 80.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc28a…22dbbacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Yes | 21c | 55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…fbebbacked Yes | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Yes | 55c | 41.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…48b3backed Yes | 58c | 35.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jasmine Paolini / Sara Errani (ITA) win Gold in Women’s Doubles Tennis?this page
- Will Linda Nosková / Karolína Muchová (Czech Republic) win Gold in Women’s Doubles Tennis?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.