Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UT Martin Skyhawks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fe420586a90499af3e000e7472868058b77c34a5b69c6e9f4055557671e5cf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UT Martin Skyhawksof UT Martin Skyhawks, Charleston Southern Buccaneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 57c | 169,400$96,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,554.41 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 43c | 169,026$72,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,344.96 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 46c | 3,936$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 44c | 3,583$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.72 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…f75dbacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 54c | 2,738$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.68 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 53c | 1,736$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.08 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 54c | 804.89$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 46c | 690.95$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.11 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…0892backed Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 10c | 587.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 54c | 401.77$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.96 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 45c | 229.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 47c | 210.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 44c | 99.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 57c | 61.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece8…4edbbacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UT Martin Skyhawks (-4.5)this page
- Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. UT Martin SkyhawksUT Martin Skyhawks won
- Spread: UT Martin Skyhawks (-3.5)UT Martin Skyhawks won
- Spread: UT Martin Skyhawks (-5.5)UT Martin Skyhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.