Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3054e2a4752aad44d9ff9dc7df374bcc9f105c5b7d361935f7b75641bb15a875
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2165…f598backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 60c | 2,193$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.2 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 36c | 1,870$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.32 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 79c | 1,270$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.29per pick | 18cpaid | +387.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 690.82$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.54 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 20c | 517.66$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 4c | 448.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 15c | 427.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 40c | 388.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.66 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 28c | 255.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 6c | 175.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 157.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 60c | 149.25$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…32e2backed No | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…9fd4backed Yes | 75c | 105.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 50c | 83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed Yes | 58c | 58.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…3057backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 42c | 31.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed No | 53c | 30.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…80f0backed Yes | 70c | 19.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-11-22?No won
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.