Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3064ed7ac9c0b7f390635f14f349b0d978bbf6037f09f36e20d9603b0fe3eb54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsof Fairleigh Dickinson Knights, Chicago State Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 58c | 1,186$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.03 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 42c | 798.99$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.94 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Chicago State Cougars | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 52c | 226$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.48 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 57c | 120.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…220cbacked Chicago State Cougars | 47c | 116.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago State Cougars | 44c | 94.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 54c | 82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Chicago State Cougars | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Chicago State Cougars | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Chicago State Cougars | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…749abacked Chicago State Cougars | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Chicago State Cougars | 45c | 32.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Chicago State Cougars | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Chicago State Cougars | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Chicago State Cougars | 45c | 28.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Chicago State Cougars | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Chicago State Cougars | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (-2.5)this page
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Fairleigh Dickinson KnightsFairleigh Dickinson Knights won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 143.5Under won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 145.5Under won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 146.5Under won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 149.5Under won
- Spread: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (-1.5)Fairleigh Dickinson Knights won
- Spread: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (-3.5)Fairleigh Dickinson Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.