Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeadb3a92f04436e37815533278cdc38d507c8ae1b8b8cffbbe41778b71959a95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsof Fairleigh Dickinson Knights, Chicago State Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 53c | 8,812$4,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.5 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Chicago State Cougars | 47c | 4,200$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Chicago State Cougars | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Chicago State Cougars | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 42c | 956.56$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.31 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 64c | 936.59$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.59 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Chicago State Cougars | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Chicago State Cougars | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked Chicago State Cougars | 22c | 192.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Chicago State Cougars | 50c | 168$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Chicago State Cougars | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 51c | 131.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Chicago State Cougars | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Chicago State Cougars | 52c | 101$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 49c | 86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Chicago State Cougars | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Chicago State Cougars | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (-3.5)this page
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Fairleigh Dickinson KnightsFairleigh Dickinson Knights won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 143.5Under won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 145.5Under won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 146.5Under won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 149.5Under won
- Spread: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (-1.5)Fairleigh Dickinson Knights won
- Spread: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (-2.5)Fairleigh Dickinson Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.