CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs struggletony (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3068f1b1deee44f652e9c762c43843aebb2939a3ab8b6bced365ad89c8c15b95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- struggletonyof MASONIC, struggletony
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed MASONIC | 48c | 1,739$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.47 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…e1fdbacked MASONIC | 57c | 1,010$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed struggletony | 39c | 798.38$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.01 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC | 26c | 724.03$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.16 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MASONIC | 36c | 432$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.89 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked struggletony | 75c | 373.84$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed struggletony | 51c | 353.84$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.59 | 789 | 52%410 W · 379 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed struggletony | 64c | 330.77$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked MASONIC | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked struggletony | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed struggletony | 74c | 185.19$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed MASONIC | 60c | 165.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked struggletony | 70c | 155.83$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed struggletony | 63c | 139$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked struggletony | 63c | 125.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked struggletony | 58c | 99.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked struggletony | 55c | 94.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed struggletony | 49c | 92.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 834 | 43.6%364 W · 470 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…3ce5backed struggletony | 58c | 92.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed struggletony | 34c | 88.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked struggletony | 64c | 78.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MASONIC | 36c | 65.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed struggletony | 50c | 59.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed struggletony | 52c | 58.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked MASONIC | 42c | 54.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…a399backed MASONIC | 49c | 51.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed MASONIC | 37c | 49.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed MASONIC | 41c | 33.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed struggletony | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…0633backed struggletony | 61c | 22.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed struggletony | 51c | 21.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 735 | 48.4%356 W · 379 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked MASONIC | 68c | 14.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.