Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x308061793f289386ca99e8a216b8920b903185cdade08a47cad4fd9613e8da75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auburn Tigersof Auburn Tigers, Ole Miss Rebels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $550,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $550,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $550,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Auburn Tigers | 52c | 512,202$266,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246,098.01 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Ole Miss Rebels | 48c | 507,064$243,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243,392.01 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Ole Miss Rebels | 49c | 10,364$5,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,065.59 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Auburn Tigers | 53c | 10,092$5,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,743.19 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Auburn Tigers | 52c | 9,660$5,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,638 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 49c | 7,036$3,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.18 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Auburn Tigers | 52c | 6,185$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.64 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 48c | 4,560$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.7 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 2,453$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.32 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Ole Miss Rebels | 48c | 1,659$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.5 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Auburn Tigers | 52c | 1,449$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.35 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Auburn Tigers | 52c | 432$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Ole Miss Rebels | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ole Miss Rebels | 49c | 249.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.27 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Auburn Tigers | 52c | 216$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Ole Miss Rebels | 47c | 209$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Auburn Tigers | 52c | 189.55$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…eb2cbacked Auburn Tigers | 52c | 83.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Auburn Tigers | 52c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Auburn Tigers | 52c | 69.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Auburn Tigers | 52c | 67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…535abacked Auburn Tigers | 53c | 61.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Ole Miss Rebels | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Ole Miss Rebels | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ole Miss Rebels | 48c | 43.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Auburn Tigers | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Ole Miss Rebels | 49c | 25.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-3.5)this page
- Auburn Tigers vs. Ole Miss RebelsAuburn Tigers won
- Auburn Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 148.5Under won
- Auburn Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 149.5Under won
- Auburn Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-2.5)Auburn Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.