CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs DEPO (BO3) - PGL Astana: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30a5bac0bbc74c104164b8b4317b592f30c3920be8b16d08553312922fdc3dcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DEPOof Ground Zero, DEPO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Ground Zero | 33c | 1,917$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.72 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Ground Zero | 12c | 851.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed DEPO | 56c | 753.54$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.98 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed DEPO | 75c | 481.33$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Ground Zero | 27c | 262.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…5cfbbacked DEPO | 54c | 225.09$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed DEPO | 54c | 198.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5a…6eabbacked Ground Zero | 24c | 171.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b50ebacked Ground Zero | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Ground Zero | 23c | 101.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed DEPO | 70c | 89.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked DEPO | 79c | 89.37$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked DEPO | 80c | 65.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Ground Zero | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked DEPO | 54c | 43.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…f490backed DEPO | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked DEPO | 72c | 34.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked DEPO | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed DEPO | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed DEPO | 70c | 20.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed DEPO | 70c | 15.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs DEPO (BO3) - PGL Astana: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs DEPO - Map 1 WinnerDEPO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.