Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30c6827b93c6fa0b5216a82ff009c98a627afe4412db1450db736c4797194c59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof paiN Gaming, BetBoom Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked paiN Gaming | 17c | 1,250$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.1 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked paiN Gaming | 7c | 935.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed paiN Gaming | 6c | 540.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked BetBoom Team | 76c | 488.3$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed paiN Gaming | 25c | 459$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.63 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN Gaming | 15c | 289.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 265.83$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed BetBoom Team | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed BetBoom Team | 75c | 241.81$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed paiN Gaming | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…f62fbacked BetBoom Team | 80c | 134.9$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked paiN Gaming | 23c | 113.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed paiN Gaming | 26c | 101$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked paiN Gaming | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed BetBoom Team | 74c | 99.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed paiN Gaming | 26c | 83.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 79.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN Gaming | 23c | 69.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked BetBoom Team | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked paiN Gaming | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked BetBoom Team | 60c | 49.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed BetBoom Team | 79c | 42.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked BetBoom Team | 78c | 33.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726d…8faabacked paiN Gaming | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed BetBoom Team | 73c | 26.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Athis page
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.