MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30c83ab6fc170db6ec0e9993f787e2625be67547b532c75bf32ef056abba44bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof LG Twins, Samsung Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x775e…6541backed LG Twins | 48c | 416.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2d…df85backed LG Twins | 39c | 301.96$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked LG Twins | 54c | 297.12$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.45 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 242.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Samsung Lions | 54c | 228.08$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 212.21$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Samsung Lions | 48c | 181.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.46 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked LG Twins | 53c | 154.18$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.35 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Samsung Lions | 80c | 137.87$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…041cbacked Samsung Lions | 47c | 126.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samsung Lions | 47c | 108.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 87.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…48dfbacked LG Twins | 35c | 79.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed LG Twins | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…51f9backed LG Twins | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Samsung Lions | 47c | 68.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked LG Twins | 54c | 41.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Samsung Lions | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Samsung Lions | 47c | 28.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Samsung Lions | 63c | 28.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…850dbacked LG Twins | 42c | 27.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Samsung Lions | 46c | 26.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Samsung Lions | 46c | 24.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf50…e132backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 19.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.