CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs GenOne (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30e94c16e483cc8b191020a00c52bd90aa8e20d79c7b1494a78821117efd0acf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GenOneof Fingers Crossed, GenOne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Fingers Crossed | 40c | 2,800$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Fingers Crossed | 34c | 1,634$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.68 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed GenOne | 60c | 1,450$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.1 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed GenOne | 60c | 930$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fingers Crossed | 3c | 912.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked GenOne | 63c | 638$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.14 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked GenOne | 66c | 478.09$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.55 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed GenOne | 66c | 445.45$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.45 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fingers Crossed | 40c | 419$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.34 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Fingers Crossed | 38c | 403.74$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.42 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed GenOne | 60c | 375.72$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…53d7backed GenOne | 62c | 306.97$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c0…1885backed Fingers Crossed | 8c | 258.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed GenOne | 66c | 237.45$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked GenOne | 66c | 222$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Fingers Crossed | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked GenOne | 45c | 155.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked GenOne | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked GenOne | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked GenOne | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed GenOne | 62c | 85.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…ab3ebacked Fingers Crossed | 51c | 78.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c4…3195backed Fingers Crossed | 38c | 78.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fingers Crossed | 33c | 62.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Fingers Crossed | 38c | 53.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fingers Crossed | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed GenOne | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed GenOne | 45c | 36.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…e4a0backed GenOne | 61c | 32.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed Fingers Crossed | 67c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked Fingers Crossed | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked GenOne | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…93aebacked GenOne | 59c | 18.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…8e19backed GenOne | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs GenOne (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs GenOne - Map 1 WinnerFingers Crossed won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.