Asian League · resolved market
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3133231b223415bb6441602cf5b74d6767ce8fa22d459d6db43fbb3d230c95e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 24c | 999.63$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.91 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 629.31$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 598.32$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.53 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 24c | 509.95$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea1…d143backed Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 169.59$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Yes | 25c | 124.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 76c | 120.43$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 74c | 119.97$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 75c | 94.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 71.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 76c | 71.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 75c | 70.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 75c | 69.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 50.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…8d00backed Yes | 27c | 49.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 42.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb128…9916backed No | 75c | 42.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 71c | 26.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 75c | 26.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…4761backed No | 77c | 19.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed No | 75c | 17.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 73c | 15.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed No | 75c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 77c | 14.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-26?No won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.