Asian League · resolved market
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3508876ed64961492e4a32dda16224bcdcc6aae45b006ca3d6b522738b7b800e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 5,953$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.42 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 1c | 5,024$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb585…53edbacked Yes | 65c | 4,193$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 14c | 3,827$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.75 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 11c | 3,674$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.66 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 27c | 2,646$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 16c | 838.22$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.88 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 637.05$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.12 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 8c | 548.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 75c | 401.27$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 71c | 369.45$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 11c | 291.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 26c | 280.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 228.17$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.54 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked No | 20c | 197.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 20c | 190.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.32 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 22c | 157.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 78c | 155.61$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 63c | 154.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Yes | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 79c | 132.85$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 8c | 124.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 60.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed Yes | 59c | 55.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 75c | 54.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 32c | 44.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…e32ebacked Yes | 64c | 36.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 43c | 36.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1704…2e46backed Yes | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351f…a826backed Yes | 60c | 32.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 63c | 20.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 78c | 17.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 78c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.