Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open, Qualification: Rafael Jodar vs Manoj Dhamne Manas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31359c293b5a73d22e64d54217d33af826b738606efaf45ac64e1348e5210594
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rafael Jodarof Rafael Jodar, Manoj Dhamne Manas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,330 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 2c | 7,968$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.31 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 9c | 6,346$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.04 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 2c | 5,621$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.83 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 5c | 3,636$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 9c | 3,373$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.67 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 6c | 2,410$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 3c | 1,898$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 2c | 1,339$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…e0fbbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 14c | 1,304$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 9c | 1,250$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.86 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 1c | 1,200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 9c | 841$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 14c | 810.22$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 9c | 694.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 13c | 604.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 4c | 589.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 11c | 548.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 12c | 314.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 9c | 211$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 12c | 151.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Manoj Dhamne Manas | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bd…fa2ebacked Manoj Dhamne Manas | 9c | 129.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open, Qualification: Rafael Jodar vs Manoj Dhamne Manasthis page
- Rafael Jodar vs. Manoj Dhamne Manas: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Manas (+1.5)Jodar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.