Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x315bde24f07b5311e153ed27990b76ff9b3d44b687eb810aefa9b2096e591196
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 39c | 1,580$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.11 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 59c | 985.57$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.34 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 41c | 653$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.61 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 58c | 549.03$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.96 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 37c | 531.18$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.13 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Under | 64c | 433.97$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.72 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 63c | 263.32$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.7 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 63c | 199.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 64c | 179.71$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Over | 35c | 82.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 63c | 80.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 61c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under | 66c | 52.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 52c | 40.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Over | 36c | 36.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 389 | 45.2%176 W · 213 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Over | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 53c | 29.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group AE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 WinnerEintracht Frankfurt won
- LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 WinnerE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.