Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31a9c4619ae9f8cc1bca9739e2207d0a87800c445b838a47d167373035bc5f68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ipswich Town FCof Ipswich Town FC, Queens Park Rangers FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Queens Park Rangers FC | 71c | 850.7$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ipswich Town FC | 29c | 519.7$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.99 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ipswich Town FC | 30c | 462.86$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.39 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Queens Park Rangers FC | 69c | 288$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ipswich Town FC | 61c | 171.1$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Queens Park Rangers FC | 68c | 140.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 1,080 | 45.2%488 W · 592 L | -19.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Ipswich Town FC | 32c | 138.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Queens Park Rangers FC | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Ipswich Town FC | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…110bbacked Ipswich Town FC | 32c | 47.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +217.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Ipswich Town FC | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Queens Park Rangers FC | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 1,943 | 42.5%826 W · 1,117 L | -41.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-2.5)this page
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.