Premier League · resolved market
Ipswich Town FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3dd72963838204810073681dc3c4f3b83979d70a7b2a4ad538b1c8710449a0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d46…98e9backed Over | 79c | 2,995$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Under | 21c | 1,062$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 725.41$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.72 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 674.32$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.43 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 634.7$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.99 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 572.97$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.11 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 46c | 381.2$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.44 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 21c | 340$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.6 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 53c | 239.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 54c | 229$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 47c | 180.7$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 48c | 179.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 56c | 118.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 35c | 106.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 61c | 102.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 33c | 96.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 48c | 65.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 47c | 65.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 62c | 34.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 59c | 29.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Over | 59c | 25.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ipswich Town FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-2.5)Ipswich Town FC won
- Spread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.