Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Samford Bulldogs vs. Western Carolina Catamounts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31eb1f5ab9aa27e47026132d5abe1190ea5ffac92416f99317ce2a596766cc06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samford Bulldogsof Samford Bulldogs, Western Carolina Catamounts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Samford Bulldogs | 55c | 1,557$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.52 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 52c | 723.93$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.44 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…6c3fbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 33c | 603.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Samford Bulldogs | 72c | 570.8$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.35 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 6c | 442$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 6c | 436.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Samford Bulldogs | 49c | 371.23$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 24c | 363.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 50c | 261$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.63 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Samford Bulldogs | 74c | 254$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 44c | 246.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 8c | 190$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Samford Bulldogs | 48c | 160.22$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.31 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 33c | 152.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Samford Bulldogs | 48c | 142.83$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Samford Bulldogs | 71c | 140.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Samford Bulldogs | 70c | 104.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 54c | 86.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Samford Bulldogs | 48c | 81.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad5…7492backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 34c | 77.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Samford Bulldogs | 47c | 76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Samford Bulldogs | 64c | 75.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Samford Bulldogs | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Samford Bulldogs | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Western Carolina Catamounts | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Western Carolina Catamounts | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Samford Bulldogs | 80c | 13.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.65 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Samford Bulldogs vs. Western Carolina Catamountsthis page
- Spread: Western Carolina Catamounts (-1.5)Samford Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.