Tennis · resolved market
ITF Claremont: Alexandra Vagramov vs Thara Gowda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3211b43b36b178429c70edb6fbac2683044aa36ca725259fa98e6786b6f64945
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexandra Vagramovof Alexandra Vagramov, Thara Gowda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Thara Gowda | 37c | 5,662$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Thara Gowda | 39c | 5,276$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.59 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Alexandra Vagramov | 61c | 1,951$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.44 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alexandra Vagramov | 63c | 1,846$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.39 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alexandra Vagramov | 62c | 1,798$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.38 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alexandra Vagramov | 61c | 1,550$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.56 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Alexandra Vagramov | 61c | 1,382$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.61 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alexandra Vagramov | 59c | 1,148$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.16 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Thara Gowda | 53c | 941.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alexandra Vagramov | 59c | 666.62$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.09 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alexandra Vagramov | 49c | 659.19$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.94 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alexandra Vagramov | 60c | 431.62$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.91 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexandra Vagramov | 65c | 312.94$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Alexandra Vagramov | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…3b20backed Alexandra Vagramov | 51c | 96.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Alexandra Vagramov | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Alexandra Vagramov | 49c | 20.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Alexandra Vagramov | 66c | 15.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.