TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Royals vs. White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Royalsof Royals, White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3e04…564dbacked Royals55c5,555$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.7598149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked White Sox44c4,439$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.6148254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Royals56c4,286$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.7113553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox45c3,491$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.132,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked White Sox44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9943949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Royals66c2,406$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.421,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked White Sox45c2,316$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.21,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox18c2,174$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.431,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Royals40c1,754$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.4212248.4%59 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed White Sox48c1,742$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.7521747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Royals55c1,540$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6938852.3%46 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked White Sox44c1,227$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.811,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Royals72c1,184$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.469,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa8…018bbacked White Sox46c1,141$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.86742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e08…d210backed Royals54c1,107$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x270e…f2f3backed Royals54c1,093$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba5…27a6backed White Sox46c1,059$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.14825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Royals54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x350d…a3d2backed White Sox45c997$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.651838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Royals55c935.5$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.9839041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals53c922.04$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.361,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Royals55c899.42$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.7483248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Royals52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38417243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed White Sox47c728.99$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.970946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed White Sox47c638$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8657744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df7…baefbacked Royals54c606.07$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.076144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked White Sox46c604$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.7763152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Royals52c578.1$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.134550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked White Sox45c565$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.2543654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked White Sox45c538.26$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.2251347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Royals53c473.68$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.6811331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd5c…1d65backed White Sox47c464.76$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2192166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff17…da9fbacked Royals55c452.29$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.531861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d31…2cbfbacked White Sox46c452.22$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.023259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Royals50c440.38$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.118,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed White Sox45c385.41$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4322142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed White Sox51c372.7$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Royals56c360$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.491749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed White Sox45c349.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.491,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed White Sox45c336.67$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.588549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed White Sox46c295.65$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1368852.3%46 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Royals54c260$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.61,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox45c256.13$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.261,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Royals54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11524253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed White Sox48c230$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.46,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox54c226.95$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.832,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed White Sox49c210$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.754345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4779…211fbacked White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec14…afbbbacked White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928051.3%41 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2019…a6a9backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7620…b9eabacked White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925742.1%24 W · 33 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3236…8f9ebacked Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd6…966cbacked Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c61…a273backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc94…72debacked Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b8…729cbacked White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927960.8%48 W · 31 L+8.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba6…8340backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927647.4%36 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c32…3b86backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb290…27c5backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…c850backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0138…cdf1backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28fe…620bbacked Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928353%44 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb523…0d72backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb340…6b02backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef2…220bbacked White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d18…f551backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x069c…ed7bbacked White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925046%23 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfffa…f24dbacked White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b3b…b5bdbacked Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a1…99aabacked Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40a0…a1c0backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf50e…b539backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e00…c26cbacked White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925054%27 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7c6…ce67backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab5…dce6backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8be8…7066backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925050%25 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe91a…5145backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf01…0439backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925050%25 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b42…5d65backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ce…215fbacked White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a6…050cbacked White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925151%26 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf15e…23e4backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31b1…9335backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca66…c18bbacked Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927853.8%42 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6b…122dbacked White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c6…8325backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…2522backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f3…94d4backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5581…12e8backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925046%23 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb90d…0082backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927656.6%43 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e97…f811backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6718…41babacked Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927354.8%40 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x045f…bfe7backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927753.2%41 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x479b…64e9backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9af2…9d81backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5700…a6babacked White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeee…9989backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928055%44 W · 36 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0c…9e00backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b1…e717backed Royals54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927853.8%42 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d8…c629backed White Sox46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925255.8%29 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.