Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Valentino Grippo vs Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x324d8e62a20491e389f6e19f0ec3a47bcb9162d0e2b2fbdce1e6e327e2e692fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puertoof Valentino Grippo, Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto | 46c | 438.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.68 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto | 40c | 423.39$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.03 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Valentino Grippo | 13c | 184.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Valentino Grippo | 19c | 166.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f1…28d4backed Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto | 75c | 126.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Valentino Grippo | 32c | 111.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Valentino Grippo | 63c | 75.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valentino Grippo | 51c | 52.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto | 66c | 38.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1e…6e1fbacked Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.