Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32e7d1b33ea317fa0f94841047518ffcc6748f357f5ce98da84ba6559b0c0326
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FCof Qingdao Hainiu FC, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 8c | 2,354$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.36 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 4c | 1,714$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f2…ec0cbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 9c | 1,050$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…affdbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 9c | 1,050$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…190cbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 9c | 1,040$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…8e15backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 9c | 1,035$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…73ddbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 9c | 1,030$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…38b5backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 9c | 1,030$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…496bbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 9c | 1,030$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…4765backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 9c | 1,030$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ee…44e3backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 9c | 1,030$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961d…bb6bbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 9c | 1,025$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…2c66backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 9c | 803.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ee…202abacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 9c | 775$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…97f2backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 9c | 750.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fb…71efbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 9c | 730.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbf…9f60backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 9c | 700.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 8c | 227.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)this page
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.