CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Hashiras - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x330b0668e5da7a5798b75ae5104b852f5acf49c820575f1c17396cf046027131
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MINLATEof MINLATE, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MINLATE | 75c | 2,220$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.93 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Hashiras | 20c | 1,330$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.61 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Hashiras | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Hashiras | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Hashiras | 28c | 909$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.8 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Hashiras | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hashiras | 37c | 777.61$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.03 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Hashiras | 18c | 654.01$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hashiras | 41c | 528.47$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.06 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77f…05a4backed MINLATE | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked MINLATE | 71c | 499.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hashiras | 42c | 484.4$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.43 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…0fd9backed Hashiras | 48c | 479.16$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Hashiras | 40c | 450$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.33 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked MINLATE | 77c | 417.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Hashiras | 34c | 308$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MINLATE | 64c | 307.21$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.18 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked MINLATE | 80c | 305.2$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hashiras | 18c | 287.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hashiras | 45c | 265.54$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed MINLATE | 45c | 223.71$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.04 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Hashiras | 10c | 209$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Hashiras | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed MINLATE | 55c | 194.58$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MINLATE | 72c | 176.94$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MINLATE | 55c | 170.04$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MINLATE | 48c | 166.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Hashiras | 38c | 162$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed MINLATE | 51c | 161$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Hashiras | 42c | 128$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…8678backed Hashiras | 16c | 126.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Hashiras | 33c | 121.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Hashiras | 25c | 102.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed Hashiras | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Hashiras | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked MINLATE | 57c | 96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Hashiras | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Hashiras | 36c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Hashiras | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Hashiras | 34c | 79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked MINLATE | 59c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed MINLATE | 49c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Hashiras | 51c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MINLATE | 78c | 63.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed MINLATE | 57c | 63.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Hashiras | 43c | 61.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Hashiras | 22c | 58.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MINLATE | 54c | 57.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Hashiras | 36c | 57.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MINLATE | 53c | 55.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Hashiras | 35c | 55.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Hashiras | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Hashiras | 46c | 51.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Hashiras | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked MINLATE | 58c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f5…edd9backed Hashiras | 49c | 45.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Hashiras | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Hashiras | 43c | 36.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Hashiras | 45c | 36.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Hashiras | 32c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Hashiras | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Hashiras | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed MINLATE | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Hashiras | 42c | 28.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed MINLATE | 70c | 27.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 123 | 68.3%84 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…8319backed MINLATE | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…0502backed MINLATE | 66c | 16.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Hashiras - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group StageMINLATE won
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Hashiras - Map 2 WinnerMINLATE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MINLATE (-1.5) vs Hashiras (+1.5)MINLATE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.