CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Hashiras - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x284ca0d1e4f1e45f79be737fd8be1d94b757064b1fcb67ac30181a06bf4007a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MINLATEof MINLATE, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MINLATE | 32c | 5,420$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.21 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hashiras | 71c | 5,181$3,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,701.54 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Hashiras | 71c | 2,907$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.61 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hashiras | 77c | 2,808$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.45 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked MINLATE | 33c | 2,121$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.41 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed MINLATE | 38c | 1,775$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.11 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MINLATE | 33c | 1,769$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.52 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed MINLATE | 25c | 1,370$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Hashiras | 32c | 1,200$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.71 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MINLATE | 31c | 801.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.58 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked MINLATE | 30c | 716$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.08 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MINLATE | 42c | 487.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.04 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Hashiras | 58c | 331.06$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.66 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MINLATE | 37c | 330.55$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.79 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f53…adc6backed Hashiras | 71c | 292.08$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Hashiras | 57c | 243.95$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Hashiras | 61c | 239.29$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.82 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked MINLATE | 16c | 221$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.64 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hashiras | 76c | 215.11$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.04 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked Hashiras | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed MINLATE | 27c | 161$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.89 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed MINLATE | 38c | 148.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MINLATE | 39c | 126.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Hashiras | 66c | 123.36$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Hashiras | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Hashiras | 45c | 115.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…8892backed Hashiras | 59c | 109.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bf…4bebbacked MINLATE | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed MINLATE | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dc…0e2ebacked MINLATE | 43c | 79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Hashiras | 69c | 77.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MINLATE | 43c | 77.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Hashiras | 40c | 71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…e266backed MINLATE | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MINLATE | 34c | 62.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MINLATE | 24c | 56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Hashiras | 60c | 53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 123 | 68.3%84 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Hashiras | 70c | 47.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Hashiras | 31c | 46.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f5…edd9backed MINLATE | 42c | 46.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Hashiras | 78c | 43.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c99…78fbbacked MINLATE | 35c | 42.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed MINLATE | 40c | 36.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked MINLATE | 32c | 35.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed MINLATE | 42c | 31.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked MINLATE | 36c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed MINLATE | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Hashiras | 56c | 27.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41e…9cabbacked MINLATE | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…1cc4backed MINLATE | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…570cbacked Hashiras | 54c | 19.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c29…ed84backed Hashiras | 61c | 18.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Hashiras - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group StageMINLATE won
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Hashiras - Map 1 WinnerMINLATE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MINLATE (-1.5) vs Hashiras (+1.5)MINLATE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.