Lol · resolved market
LoL: Lodis vs devils.one - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x334260c6caa7f4da23567550b42f1d4178270b0064b4a0544e05d12ed96bba15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- devils.oneof Lodis, devils.one
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed devils.one | 55c | 1,422$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.08 | 963 | 50.2%483 W · 480 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Lodis | 19c | 932.63$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.64 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Lodis | 57c | 783.98$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.75 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…4ca9backed Lodis | 78c | 620.29$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.74 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Lodis | 54c | 505.77$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.2 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…98e0backed Lodis | 64c | 501.87$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.95 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed Lodis | 67c | 410.32$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.63 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Lodis | 24c | 395.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked devils.one | 33c | 393.8$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.56 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Lodis | 44c | 383.68$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Lodis | 47c | 366.03$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.49 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed devils.one | 43c | 331.31$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.74 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe703…37ddbacked devils.one | 45c | 301.42$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked devils.one | 64c | 293.52$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed4d…6a0bbacked devils.one | 45c | 292.49$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.16 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed devils.one | 31c | 249.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.49 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked devils.one | 46c | 237.58$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.24 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6e…1ebfbacked Lodis | 52c | 237.49$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed devils.one | 42c | 144.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Lodis | 69c | 130.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.73 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lodis | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked devils.one | 26c | 115.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed devils.one | 43c | 112.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked devils.one | 55c | 109.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed devils.one | 35c | 104.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…a004backed Lodis | 71c | 97.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lodis | 54c | 92.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 1,658 | 46.9%777 W · 881 L | -25.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…45dfbacked Lodis | 69c | 90.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…83a4backed Lodis | 64c | 88.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lodis | 44c | 83.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed devils.one | 45c | 81.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lodis | 43c | 77.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked devils.one | 42c | 71.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked devils.one | 47c | 70.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf28…db5dbacked devils.one | 65c | 70.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed devils.one | 29c | 66.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed devils.one | 41c | 61.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3f…f75dbacked Lodis | 53c | 57.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked devils.one | 37c | 50.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Lodis | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Lodis | 55c | 44.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed devils.one | 54c | 37.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked devils.one | 30c | 36.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 545 | 55.2%301 W · 244 L | +24.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked devils.one | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Lodis | 46c | 29.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 244 | 35.7%87 W · 157 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lodis | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed devils.one | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 1,257 | 52.8%664 W · 593 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Lodis | 65c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Lodis | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Lodis vs devils.one - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Lodis vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonLodis won
- LoL: Lodis vs devils.one - Game 1 WinnerLodis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.