Lol · resolved market
LoL: Lodis vs devils.one - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dbeb3778d9c29c539c0d17ec58591d80ae98687f39c821f31cbf34cc54723a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lodisof Lodis, devils.one
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked devils.one | 45c | 927.94$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.43 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Lodis | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Lodis | 59c | 641.59$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.65 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked devils.one | 53c | 439.63$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.15 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Lodis | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed devils.one | 6c | 402.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed devils.one | 18c | 345.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Lodis | 56c | 299.87$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.94 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed devils.one | 29c | 223.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked devils.one | 41c | 202.57$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed devils.one | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed devils.one | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked devils.one | 43c | 187.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Lodis | 58c | 171.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…a13fbacked Lodis | 77c | 143.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed devils.one | 24c | 126.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…98e0backed devils.one | 13c | 100.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed devils.one | 18c | 77.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 140 | 35.7%50 W · 90 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed devils.one | 25c | 76.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed devils.one | 45c | 49.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Lodis | 49c | 44.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…6ef8backed Lodis | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Lodis | 53c | 37.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed devils.one | 51c | 35.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked devils.one | 42c | 32.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Lodis | 49c | 28.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…dedabacked Lodis | 61c | 27.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Lodis | 44c | 25.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Lodis | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed devils.one | 57c | 24.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Lodis | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 634 | 48.1%305 W · 329 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Lodis | 71c | 14.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Lodis vs devils.one - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Lodis vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonLodis won
- LoL: Lodis vs devils.one - Game 2 Winnerdevils.one won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.