Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Popyrin (-1.5) vs Tabur (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x335be0cbc0fc189f5f6b7424d4b8e8977aa7692ec57a493c126ae8ab192efb55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taburof Popyrin, Tabur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Tabur | 57c | 9,270$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.04 | 187 | 47.6%89 W · 98 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Popyrin | 43c | 8,446$3,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,631.67 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Tabur | 57c | 3,546$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.67 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Popyrin | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Popyrin | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Popyrin | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Popyrin | 44c | 341$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.04 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Tabur | 56c | 320.51$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Popyrin | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Popyrin | 45c | 264.01$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…cc1bbacked Popyrin | 49c | 210.79$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…cb4fbacked Tabur | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Popyrin | 46c | 168.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Popyrin | 43c | 167.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Popyrin | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Popyrin | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Tabur | 53c | 60.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Tabur | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 245 | 46.5%114 W · 131 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Popyrin | 46c | 50.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Popyrin | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Popyrin | 44c | 42.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Popyrin | 45c | 40.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Tabur | 52c | 34.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Tabur | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tabur | 56c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Tabur | 54c | 20.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Popyrin (-1.5) vs Tabur (+1.5)this page
- Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement TaburAlexei Popyrin won
- Set 1 Winner: Popyrin vs TaburPopyrin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.