CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3367ed3b34be581e7cef5b3b93170d4bab7909da69d013dac4b2af132ee8a511
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof Tricked, 1WIN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x824f…69bdbacked Tricked | 50c | 2,049$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.58 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1WIN | 50c | 1,110$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.82 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Tricked | 46c | 1,034$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.99 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1WIN | 53c | 938.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.12 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Tricked | 50c | 701.02$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.51 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked 1WIN | 50c | 660.37$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.29 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed 1WIN | 52c | 456.67$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.67 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Tricked | 59c | 400$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.57 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked 1WIN | 59c | 367.44$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.19 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed 1WIN | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed 1WIN | 50c | 214.78$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed Tricked | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Tricked | 23c | 198.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked 1WIN | 50c | 193.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1WIN | 53c | 183.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Tricked | 43c | 135.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed 1WIN | 58c | 130$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tricked | 33c | 114.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed 1WIN | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked 1WIN | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked Tricked | 21c | 91.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked 1WIN | 61c | 66.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…1c50backed 1WIN | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked 1WIN | 61c | 55.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Tricked | 41c | 49.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 54c | 48.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed 1WIN | 58c | 47.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Tricked | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb722…1098backed 1WIN | 55c | 37.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Tricked | 45c | 22.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed 1WIN | 70c | 21.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Tricked | 60c | 18.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.