CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadd3ae9b370c5d6c100bc840730b60817ae21aa59a735410d5454d37e3e8ef16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof Tricked, 1WIN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked 1WIN | 64c | 2,610$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.5 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Tricked | 45c | 622.22$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Tricked | 28c | 615.47$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.39 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Tricked | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Tricked | 45c | 528.89$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Tricked | 45c | 412.22$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked 1WIN | 53c | 379.96$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.58 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1WIN | 72c | 234.37$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1WIN | 74c | 203.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f56…b78ebacked Tricked | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tricked | 46c | 134.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricked | 45c | 120.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tricked | 21c | 119.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Tricked | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Tricked | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1WIN | 70c | 97.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked 1WIN | 55c | 92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Tricked | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…85fbbacked Tricked | 36c | 61.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 369 | 42%155 W · 214 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Tricked | 25c | 48.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Tricked | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed 1WIN | 54c | 35.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked 1WIN | 76c | 33.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabc7…4af7backed 1WIN | 66c | 30.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed 1WIN | 55c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.