CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: FURIA vs. M80
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x338092be82acb9a370c2e1bcc19fd8977b506c04ce7a9cf771c0e68677e10e67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked FURIA | 69c | 5,006$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed M80 | 31c | 4,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked M80 | 31c | 2,218$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.85 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed FURIA | 62c | 1,565$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.89 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed M80 | 5c | 1,065$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked M80 | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed FURIA | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.14 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FURIA | 69c | 482.61$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.61 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed FURIA | 69c | 472$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.54 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…000bbacked FURIA | 69c | 435$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed M80 | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked FURIA | 69c | 289.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed M80 | 31c | 219.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed M80 | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed M80 | 35c | 165.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked FURIA | 69c | 144.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed M80 | 44c | 121.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked M80 | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed M80 | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed FURIA | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked M80 | 30c | 71.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed M80 | 31c | 46.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x826a…0101backed M80 | 44c | 45.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed M80 | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed FURIA | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…df31backed FURIA | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.