CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WHITEBIRD vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - Exort Cataclysm Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3387568e7ac2993af486c04afce7e527b24747b4ac2229481876ecff6ffe1a13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof WHITEBIRD, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1aac…e4e2backed WHITEBIRD | 36c | 1,514$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…bd77backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…9d00backed WHITEBIRD | 36c | 970$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…a32cbacked WHITEBIRD | 36c | 668$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493b…1541backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 653$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…a101backed WHITEBIRD | 36c | 636$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WHITEBIRD | 58c | 571.48$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.29 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nuclear TigeRES | 41c | 526.74$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.91 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 37c | 483.09$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.55 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed Nuclear TigeRES | 37c | 372$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.4 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…2c8cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 353$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b36…7ea7backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 319$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce4…4b62backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 317$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…f845backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 317$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…64f8backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 315$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fc…122ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 314$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…6b6abacked WHITEBIRD | 53c | 285.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c6…a5dcbacked WHITEBIRD | 63c | 159.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bf…c63cbacked WHITEBIRD | 53c | 152$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked WHITEBIRD | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked WHITEBIRD | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Nuclear TigeRES | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WHITEBIRD | 39c | 99.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…93f2backed Nuclear TigeRES | 46c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed WHITEBIRD | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…d823backed Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 54.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed WHITEBIRD | 58c | 49.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked WHITEBIRD | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…7584backed WHITEBIRD | 62c | 29.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed WHITEBIRD | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed WHITEBIRD | 75c | 20.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1325…f2aebacked WHITEBIRD | 62c | 17.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.