Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Indoors Basel: Remy Bertola vs Jaume Munar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33a12ee266c29973933aff20e7d13fc305feddaa9ba047e775a513f53b4ac17d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Munarof Bertola, Munar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Munar | 68c | 5,972$4,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.25 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Bertola | 31c | 4,051$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.72 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Munar | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.3 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Bertola | 31c | 1,400$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bertola | 31c | 1,339$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.94 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Munar | 70c | 1,300$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Bertola | 20c | 707.45$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Bertola | 20c | 611.76$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Bertola | 31c | 383.61$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bertola | 31c | 366$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bertola | 10c | 344.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Bertola | 31c | 330$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Bertola | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Bertola | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…745ebacked Bertola | 16c | 182.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Munar | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Munar | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Munar | 63c | 135.2$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Munar | 67c | 102.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bertola | 30c | 100.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Bertola | 36c | 98.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Bertola | 29c | 95.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bertola | 34c | 80.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Bertola | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Munar | 70c | 48.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Munar | 69c | 37.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Munar | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.