Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LPS (-1.5) vs SPIKE Syndicate (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33a5579e96e3374a7c3ec2bcdff58a16e7d3f8b5ed5dddd86a739428fbb064b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPIKE Syndicateof Lupus Esports, SPIKE Syndicate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Lupus Esports | 65c | 10,010$6,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,505.78 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x924c…8409backed SPIKE Syndicate | 35c | 2,977$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed SPIKE Syndicate | 35c | 2,300$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 35c | 1,697$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +155%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed SPIKE Syndicate | 35c | 1,566$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.19 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed SPIKE Syndicate | 35c | 728.42$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.47 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…f90cbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 35c | 565.71$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 35c | 495.5$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.08 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +8.1wins | +0.25per pick | 21cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Lupus Esports | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed SPIKE Syndicate | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Lupus Esports | 60c | 71.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…bf4ebacked Lupus Esports | 71c | 38.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LPS (-1.5) vs SPIKE Syndicate (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs Lupus Esports (BO3) - EBL Regular SeasonLupus Esports won
- LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs Lupus Esports - Game 1 WinnerSPIKE Syndicate won
- LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs Lupus Esports - Game 2 WinnerLupus Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.