Lol · resolved market
LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs Lupus Esports (BO3) - EBL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38b15130b7a77f945e16a1a2ec5f805651bac19bc928eecb6ccfa5ef772dea51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lupus Esportsof SPIKE Syndicate, Lupus Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92d6…0550backed SPIKE Syndicate | 11c | 8,155$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.43 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14c9…c834backed SPIKE Syndicate | 11c | 1,518$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…7774backed SPIKE Syndicate | 14c | 679.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 41c | 641.15$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 12c | 518.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc983…ebf0backed Lupus Esports | 58c | 500.18$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.07 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed SPIKE Syndicate | 12c | 408.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed SPIKE Syndicate | 14c | 369.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…b9f2backed SPIKE Syndicate | 5c | 351.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed SPIKE Syndicate | 9c | 346.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd967…d539backed SPIKE Syndicate | 13c | 315.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 15c | 242.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…f62fbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 13c | 236$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed SPIKE Syndicate | 12c | 200.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…3d80backed SPIKE Syndicate | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c6…a5dcbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…3906backed SPIKE Syndicate | 13c | 176.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lupus Esports | 70c | 158.16$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…19cebacked SPIKE Syndicate | 38c | 111.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…400cbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 40c | 87.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6084backed SPIKE Syndicate | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…83a4backed SPIKE Syndicate | 29c | 69.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa404…3ee0backed SPIKE Syndicate | 37c | 43.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949d…374cbacked Lupus Esports | 36c | 34.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Lupus Esports | 75c | 32.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Lupus Esports | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…375ebacked Lupus Esports | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs Lupus Esports (BO3) - EBL Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: LPS (-1.5) vs SPIKE Syndicate (+1.5)SPIKE Syndicate won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs Lupus Esports - Game 1 WinnerSPIKE Syndicate won
- LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs Lupus Esports - Game 2 WinnerLupus Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.