Lol · resolved market
LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs Lupus Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb437e80f67fc41811cc1c9cd1811370b82e3a59051778e0c6c6e1e528a00c36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPIKE Syndicateof SPIKE Syndicate, Lupus Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lupus Esports | 0c | 12,049$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed SPIKE Syndicate | 18c | 4,277$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 20c | 4,027$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +155%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 19c | 3,340$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.23 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +7.7wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf2…66e2backed SPIKE Syndicate | 19c | 2,621$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +279.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f2…fe56backed SPIKE Syndicate | 17c | 1,465$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…b068backed SPIKE Syndicate | 23c | 1,316$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed SPIKE Syndicate | 18c | 716.41$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.41 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 19c | 670.26$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.91 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed SPIKE Syndicate | 17c | 612.47$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.35 | 307 | 42%129 W · 178 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked SPIKE Syndicate | 17c | 522.87$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.98 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x136f…336cbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 17c | 365.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed Lupus Esports | 75c | 334.67$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked SPIKE Syndicate | 17c | 185$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.72 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Lupus Esports | 54c | 174.24$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…f6fbbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 19c | 119.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…8dcfbacked Lupus Esports | 56c | 109.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2100…5060backed SPIKE Syndicate | 44c | 109$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f30…2a54backed SPIKE Syndicate | 17c | 82.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…e36cbacked SPIKE Syndicate | 31c | 63.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed SPIKE Syndicate | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Lupus Esports | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 616 | 45.3%279 W · 337 L | +36.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs Lupus Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: LPS (-1.5) vs SPIKE Syndicate (+1.5)SPIKE Syndicate won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs Lupus Esports (BO3) - EBL Regular SeasonLupus Esports won
- LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs Lupus Esports - Game 2 WinnerLupus Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.