Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Providence Friars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33b1fbef68ab2886750a78d01579c2429ef79e3f5bdb1087ce92d66fbd16c423
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wisconsin Badgersof Wisconsin Badgers, Providence Friars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Providence Friars | 9c | 1,477$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.38 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Providence Friars | 20c | 999.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Wisconsin Badgers | 73c | 708.11$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.11 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Providence Friars | 27c | 596.77$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 72c | 563.19$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Providence Friars | 29c | 230$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 70c | 104.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wisconsin Badgers | 72c | 104$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Providence Friars | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Providence Friars | 28c | 92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Providence Friars | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Wisconsin Badgers | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Providence Friars | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Providence Friars | 27c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…8299backed Wisconsin Badgers | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…8b43backed Wisconsin Badgers | 71c | 16.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wisconsin Badgers | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed Wisconsin Badgers | 72c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Providence Friarsthis page
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Providence Friars: O/U 165.5Over won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Providence Friars: O/U 166.5Over won
- Wisconsin Badgers vs. Providence Friars: O/U 167.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.