TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ITF Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Damir Zhalgasbay

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Petr Bar Biryukovof Petr Bar Biryukov, Damir Zhalgasbay
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,709 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9dd…b525backed Petr Bar Biryukov53c18,621$9,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,712.1925144.6%112 W · 139 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc07d…b1dfbacked Petr Bar Biryukov76c4,455$3,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.882,38355.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L+49.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Damir Zhalgasbay19c2,105$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40062956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Damir Zhalgasbay38c1,488$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.598,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Damir Zhalgasbay13c1,425$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.2371725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Damir Zhalgasbay25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30071729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Damir Zhalgasbay32c1,087$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.8327724.9%69 W · 208 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Petr Bar Biryukov68c641.54$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.298,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Damir Zhalgasbay33c469.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.149658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Damir Zhalgasbay27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036621.6%79 W · 287 L+1.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Damir Zhalgasbay37c274.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2944751.7%231 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a4…190ebacked Petr Bar Biryukov73c271.6$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.547156.3%40 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Damir Zhalgasbay27c180$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.826921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed Petr Bar Biryukov70c142.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8412544.8%56 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Petr Bar Biryukov75c126.96$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.744,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Damir Zhalgasbay12c126.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.175,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Damir Zhalgasbay23c110.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Damir Zhalgasbay27c97.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4443144.8%193 W · 238 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed Petr Bar Biryukov72c97.68$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3522262.6%139 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Petr Bar Biryukov79c83.94$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.296,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Petr Bar Biryukov77c73.96$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.077,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Damir Zhalgasbay35c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.62,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Damir Zhalgasbay35c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.521,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Damir Zhalgasbay35c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.61,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Damir Zhalgasbay36c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.31,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Damir Zhalgasbay29c57.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.818666.7%124 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa63d…d405backed Petr Bar Biryukov73c47.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.947661.8%47 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Damir Zhalgasbay27c43.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8639759.4%236 W · 161 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Petr Bar Biryukov70c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a62…4ab9backed Petr Bar Biryukov69c33.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3314536.6%53 W · 92 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Petr Bar Biryukov79c31.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.721,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…fa96backed Damir Zhalgasbay42c30.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0913557.8%78 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x163d…7c69backed Damir Zhalgasbay41c29.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214715.6%23 W · 124 L-32.8wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-52.9%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0x4de5…06bdbacked Petr Bar Biryukov71c28.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21984.2%16 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Petr Bar Biryukov71c24.92$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2328764.1%184 W · 103 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Petr Bar Biryukov67c23.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6345566.4%302 W · 153 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x829a…a748backed Damir Zhalgasbay54c22.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2314449.3%71 W · 73 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7e1…b1aebacked Petr Bar Biryukov75c16.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1111750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Petr Bar Biryukov62c16.01$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662549.6%310 W · 315 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3785…f577backed Petr Bar Biryukov71c14.1$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.095248.1%25 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.