NHL · resolved market
AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Henderson Silver Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33d3a28df575f93dd39d4849e5f2cf18492a1def919923e0d4be35a326f93e03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henderson Silver Knightsof Coachella Valley Firebirds, Henderson Silver Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Henderson Silver Knights | 51c | 5,665$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.68 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.19 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 1,433$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.37 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 50c | 1,121$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.85 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 52c | 480.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.8 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Henderson Silver Knights | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 48c | 190.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 48c | 190$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Henderson Silver Knights | 50c | 152.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 48c | 151.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 48c | 149.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +9.5wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 109.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 50c | 109$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…68dabacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 50c | 101$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…cba7backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 50c | 60.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 60.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 48c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…f19fbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 52c | 40.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Henderson Silver Knights | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Henderson Silver Knights | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.