Tennis · resolved market
Piracicaba: Matias Soto vs Ignacio Monzon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3435861e9c1c31c056c2ef40052babe5abbc213ce95e1aceafc20a26cac8124f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matias Sotoof Matias Soto, Ignacio Monzon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c23…418bbacked Ignacio Monzon | 4c | 5,455$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Ignacio Monzon | 7c | 4,000$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.42 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ignacio Monzon | 9c | 3,596$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.66 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ignacio Monzon | 4c | 1,966$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Ignacio Monzon | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Ignacio Monzon | 9c | 1,110$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked Ignacio Monzon | 18c | 924.28$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.37 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0374…1782backed Ignacio Monzon | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ignacio Monzon | 16c | 449.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Ignacio Monzon | 8c | 410$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Ignacio Monzon | 17c | 331.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ignacio Monzon | 7c | 310.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…00a9backed Ignacio Monzon | 6c | 296.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Ignacio Monzon | 12c | 295.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Ignacio Monzon | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Ignacio Monzon | 16c | 194.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…659bbacked Ignacio Monzon | 11c | 189.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Ignacio Monzon | 17c | 182.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Ignacio Monzon | 10c | 173.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Ignacio Monzon | 13c | 162$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Ignacio Monzon | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…4f5fbacked Ignacio Monzon | 14c | 146.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Ignacio Monzon | 19c | 106$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Ignacio Monzon | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ignacio Monzon | 15c | 87.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Piracicaba: Matias Soto vs Ignacio Monzonthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Soto vs MonzonSoto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.