CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34456ae3d2470396d80b84f65e23f319acbe0cdf99a37aa3c72773b47cd31b22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Legacy, Yawara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Legacy | 71c | 949.85$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.16 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Legacy | 61c | 794.92$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.87 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Yawara Esports | 36c | 766.9$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.86 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yawara Esports | 34c | 725.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.56 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Yawara Esports | 34c | 666.98$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.68 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 558$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.84 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed Legacy | 63c | 343.5$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.73 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Legacy | 64c | 314.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yawara Esports | 31c | 290.65$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Legacy | 68c | 268.91$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed Legacy | 60c | 218.12$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.64 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Yawara Esports | 18c | 211.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Legacy | 60c | 202.57$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Legacy | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Yawara Esports | 38c | 195.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Yawara Esports | 32c | 189$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Legacy | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…2810backed Yawara Esports | 47c | 149.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Yawara Esports | 40c | 133.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed Legacy | 53c | 113.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Legacy | 28c | 108.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Legacy | 63c | 105$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Yawara Esports | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Yawara Esports | 60c | 89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Yawara Esports | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Legacy | 75c | 68.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Yawara Esports | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Legacy | 61c | 53.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Legacy | 60c | 50.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Legacy | 59c | 48.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Legacy | 60c | 46.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…f3eabacked Legacy | 67c | 46.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac14…415abacked Yawara Esports | 42c | 40.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Legacy | 40c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…5080backed Legacy | 69c | 37.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Yawara Esports | 41c | 33.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Legacy | 60c | 32.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Legacy | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Legacy | 61c | 26.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 25.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Legacy | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeda…001ebacked Legacy | 72c | 24.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Legacy | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group CLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 WinnerYawara Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)Yawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.