CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x427369b11a77817205fdc03bf2643c942674c7b6896ce92a82efcf9e775c3bcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Legacy, Yawara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Legacy | 53c | 1,539$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yawara Esports | 14c | 1,159$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.95 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Legacy | 50c | 1,072$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.83 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yawara Esports | 22c | 999.61$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.38 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yawara Esports | 17c | 661.17$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.1 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yawara Esports | 63c | 641.32$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.42 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Legacy | 17c | 538.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yawara Esports | 52c | 388$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.7 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Yawara Esports | 61c | 326.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.43 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Legacy | 51c | 275.03$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Legacy | 75c | 250$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Legacy | 49c | 242.21$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Yawara Esports | 22c | 240$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.01 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Yawara Esports | 21c | 224$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.96 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Legacy | 47c | 221.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Legacy | 58c | 220$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed Legacy | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Yawara Esports | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Yawara Esports | 13c | 196.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Legacy | 21c | 196.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Legacy | 20c | 186.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Legacy | 41c | 163.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yawara Esports | 16c | 163.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.38 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Yawara Esports | 61c | 162.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed Yawara Esports | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Legacy | 49c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yawara Esports | 51c | 133.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Legacy | 40c | 122.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Yawara Esports | 20c | 122.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.13 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Yawara Esports | 65c | 101.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Legacy | 41c | 101.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed Legacy | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Legacy | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.33 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Yawara Esports | 70c | 94.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…6a27backed Yawara Esports | 23c | 88.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Yawara Esports | 72c | 86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Legacy | 25c | 83.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Legacy | 53c | 80.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…5080backed Yawara Esports | 70c | 80.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Legacy | 42c | 74.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Yawara Esports | 48c | 70.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed Yawara Esports | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Yawara Esports | 70c | 68.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yawara Esports | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Yawara Esports | 43c | 53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yawara Esports | 32c | 49.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Legacy | 70c | 47.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Legacy | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked Yawara Esports | 49c | 42.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Legacy | 64c | 42.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Legacy | 48c | 41.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Yawara Esports | 50c | 35.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8f…1f80backed Legacy | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Legacy | 79c | 29.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Legacy | 67c | 18.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd779…272bbacked Legacy | 64c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group CLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)Yawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.