Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Belgium vs Hungary
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x344984b64756efe397fef0e7c3715425fedc4813e1e6a5fd7b9a91c662f5951f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belgiumof Belgium, Hungary
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Hungary | 12c | 773.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hungary | 8c | 577.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Belgium | 78c | 543.49$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Hungary | 2c | 409.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hungary | 7c | 409.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hungary | 22c | 398.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Hungary | 20c | 139.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hungary | 22c | 135.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Hungary | 9c | 115.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Hungary | 23c | 92.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1baf…39d6backed Hungary | 22c | 79.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Hungary | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…fdc5backed Hungary | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Hungary | 25c | 51.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Belgium | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Hungary | 21c | 49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…3dd8backed Belgium | 79c | 26.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…d689backed Belgium | 77c | 25.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed Belgium | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Belgium | 73c | 14.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…24f8backed Belgium | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.