Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3455f07754745555849f5a5a4726972cd7d6df5d6e8544360b6bcece73dccd04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, BetBoom Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,012 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BetBoom Team | 0c | 8,322$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked BetBoom Team | 36c | 1,797$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.33 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked BetBoom Team | 18c | 1,185$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.25 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 690.77$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.77 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 677$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.41 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…6774backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked BetBoom Team | 39c | 384.06$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.94 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 363.91$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.39 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 80c | 265.95$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…07fdbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 200.26$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1299backed BetBoom Team | 26c | 200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked BetBoom Team | 19c | 136.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…2811backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 126.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 122.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 96.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked BetBoom Team | 16c | 91.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 85.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…c849backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 76.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 74.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed BetBoom Team | 32c | 65.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…5bf9backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 47.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 44.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe91b…f299backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 41.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 34.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 20.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.